Thursday, May 25, 2006

6 miles with a 2-mile time trial down the Betzwood (5:37, 5:40). Good to go. Adductor problem has been moped up. Legs are ready to roll. -------------------------------------------- And now for the bad news. Nice and warm...nice.....AND WARM? Details for Sunday 5/28 Sunday Nice and warm with sunshine and patchy clouds High Temperature: 78° F RealFeel®: 76° F Winds: SW at 13 mph Wind Gusts: 28 mph ---------------------------- So this is when reality sets in. I may be in 2:29 shape, but it would be on a flat course in 50-degree temps with no wind and a whole lotta luck. I'm changing things(if the weather comes as predicted). I'm going out with the sole focus of beating the best Skicrack runner. I'm easing into it cautious...we're talking 5:50s, maybe 6:00s the first couple. I die in the heat. I died in Miami and all my shit marathons are ones that are run in over 65 degree temps during the race. So lets all push back from the crack pipe and lets look reality in the face on this. Shall we? --------------------------- A fast 100m in Mombasa will buy you a dollar store plastic spatula and the following cd from the checkout rack: Kenny Loggins, His Greatest Hits 1979-1981--the Dark years, the Tenacious years. "Sample this. Paul Koech, a Prisons warder won $2.5 for winning the 100 metres dash under hot, humid and energy-sapping conditions at the Mombasa municipal stadium recently. Koech showed no emotion as he pocketed the small brown envelope stuffed with the equivalent of Ksh170." Would you show emotion? And a 2:11 marathon in Mombasa, the fastest time ever on Kenyan soil, will buy you a low-end kayak from EMS (non-Himalayan expedition version). "The following day Philip Kemei raked in $700 for winning the Mombasa International Marathon in 2:11:6 hours...Kemei's time in Mombasa - 2:11:6 hours - is the fastest on Kenyan soil and at 33 and with enough exposure, he has a few more years to earn decent money in appearance fees in the international circuit." -------------------------- Somewhere between touching a real velociraptor's tooth and looking through a transit, my daughter informed the visiting paleontologist at her school that I was running the Vermont City Marathon. The paleontologist has sent along his best wishes. ------------------------- I know I'm not a big 'form' and style guy but here's some observations: (click stories on the right) 1. Lance's form looks like doo-doo at the moment. 2. Gotta shorten the shorts. You can't run fast in those homeboy things. 3. Consider striders for the 2:45 NYC attempt. 4. Canyons not deep enough for a 2:45 presently. No need to shave legs for marathons, but consider wearing one of these. 5. Skirack's out of sponsorships for him because he's not fast enough with a 2:45. 6. Nike Free shoes + Lance Armstrong-esque intensity and Lance Armstrong-esque mileage dedication = big fucking stress fracture.

5 Comments:

Eric said...

Too bad to have to pull the plug on the sub-2:30 attempt, but absolutely the right thing to do. Racing is generally more interesting than time-trialing anyway. Good luck!

5/25/2006 01:34:11 PM  
Marc said...

A whole lot can change from now 'til Sunday on the weather front. The reality doesn't set in until the gun goes off, until then stay with your plan, don't let the weather man get you down. Besides, you don't need him to know which way the wind blows.

Oh, and luck don't enter into it my friend. Luck is for white haired ladies on the bus to Atlantic City.

Run like hell. You know you can.

Looking forward to the report.

5/25/2006 01:42:16 PM  
chow said...

Dude, weather forecasts suck. They are clueless IMHO. I had days where I could get in a 2 hr run in dryness when they predicted 100% chance of rain. They botch temperature forecasts all the time. (this past Tuesday, they forecasted on Monday that it'll be upper 60's. Then Monday afternoon, they changed it to lower 60's. By Monday night, mid 60's. WTF? Just say "We don't know. We think it'll be somewhere in the 60's, high-mid-low, we're not sure" ... just admit it! Also, I just blew away my 17:45 time from last Sept on this 5k course ... to 16:41. Lesson learned, don't doubt your capabilities...

5/25/2006 10:00:00 PM  
kemibe said...

If that forecast turns out to be accurate, conditions will be almost identical to those in 2002 -- strong winds that are at your back for miles 2-6, in your face from 6-12, at your back from 12-21 and in your face from 21-26.2. But there was a paid pace-setter in the mix that day, and just to prove followed how smart I was I followed him through even, efficient early splits of 5:50, 5:20, 5:10, 4:57, 5:23 and 5:25 to bring me through 10K right on 2:20:15 pace. The four guys in my austere group then shit the bed to varying degrees, myself quite messily as I lumbered in to a 2:31:10. Even my bladder bonked. Please don't re-live my miseries.

Also, you're a single guy, right? Don't be afraid to spend most of Suturday lurking around the UVM campus and taking in the "sights." You can do the same in and around the Church Street Marketplace, but don't over-walk. This is borderline dirty-old-man behavior, but as a UVM alumnus I felt entitled to indulging in same, and I was only 32 at the time anyway.

Back to the weather -- looks like the dewpoint isn't supposed to be higher than mid-50's, which is tame, and that Sunday high of 80 F won't be realized until well after you're done, so I wouldn't worry about the heat. As for the wind, just don't fight it; I've never known anyone to win a battle against Aeolus. Because of the number of turns, your splits will be all over the place, but don't worry about that either.

5/25/2006 10:24:02 PM  
Love2Run said...

Looking forward to the report. Have a great 'race'!

5/26/2006 06:13:48 AM  

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